Tree Diagrams and Successive Events
This page focuses on using tree diagrams to represent and calculate probabilities for events happening in succession. Tree diagrams are particularly useful for visualizing multi-step probability problems.
Definition: Tree Diagram: A visual representation of the possible outcomes of a sequence of events, where each branch represents a different outcome.
The page presents two main examples to illustrate the use of tree diagrams:
- Charlie's commute to school:
Example: The probability of Charlie taking the bus is 0.4, and the probability of being late if he takes the bus is 0.2. If he walks (probability 0.6), the probability of being late is 0.3. Students are asked to draw a tree diagram and calculate the overall probability of Charlie being late to school.
- Tossing a biased coin:
Example: A biased coin with P(heads) = 1/3 is tossed three times. Students are asked to draw a tree diagram, find the probability of getting heads all three times, and calculate the probability of getting heads only once.
The page also introduces more complex probability calculations involving repeated trials:
Highlight: The coin toss experiment is repeated for a second trial, and students are asked to find the probability of obtaining either 3 heads or 3 tails in both trials.
These examples demonstrate how tree diagrams can be used to break down complex probability problems into manageable steps, making it easier to calculate probabilities for sequences of events.
Vocabulary: Successive Events: Events that occur one after another in a sequence.
By working through these examples, students learn how to construct and interpret tree diagrams, as well as how to use them to solve multi-step probability problems.